Saturday, January 31, 2009

Struggling Habs and ...

This is has not been Carey Price's finest moments in his short career as a Montreal Canadien. in the two games he has goaled this week, he has let in 10 goals, worst of all, he has not gotten any support from his teammates, that something that neither Guy Carbonneau or Bob Gainey want to see. It's not mentionned anywhere, if the Gm visited the players locker room, as a reminder to the players, that they have a mandate to fulfill and better get out of vacation mode and fast.

The Hall of Fame and former Canadiens captain, is not one to panic, but surely won't sit back and watch his team slide out of the playoffs. I'm surprised that head coach Guy Carbonneau didn't see this coming. It was pretty obvisious to anyone that follows hockey on a regular basis. Legendary and the late Toe Blake use to have fits when he saw his teams lift their foot from the pedal, when they were controlling the game. Blake use to tell his players that they usually start the next game the way they had finished the previous one. Let's go back two weeks, the Canadiens were dominating the Senators in Ottawa, they had total control of the game, they started to slack off , and bang, The Sens come in score two goals and force the game in to overtime and then a shoutout, which the Habs won by the skin of their teeth. Carbonneau seemed happy with the win, but if he had known that his team was on it's way to a four game losing streak, I doubt that he would as happy. Guys like Blake, Bowman and Carbonneau's former coach, Jacques Lemaire, would of been steaming mad.

Carbonneau did have his players on the ice early the next morning after the loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning, with skating at the beginning and at the end, but no results. On Thursday, it was the sequel of the horror show in Tampa, but this time the Florida Cats were hungry, and ate up Price and his teammates 5-1. After the game, the young goaltender blew a fuse, and used some choice words, with cameras rolling. According to Marc-Antoine Godin of La Prese news paper, the Canadiens brass warned him about the excess language, espacially with the press around.

Guy Carbonneau has the task of getting this team back on track for the Super Bowl weekend matinees against the Los Angeles Kings and their all-time rivals and Eastern Conference leaders, the Boston Bruins. Both games start at 2pm, you can see them on the CBC and RDS.


Hossa done in Detroit ?

The Detroit Red Wings signed all-star and Conn Smyth trophy winner, Henrik Zetterberg to a twelve year 73 million dollar contract this week, which indicate that Marian Hossa could end being the odd man out in the motor city, as Gm ken Holland most likely will concentrate on getting Johan Frenzen signed. Given the state of the US economy, Holland will give priority to the players that have been in Detroit the longest, which is not the case for Hossa. The talented winger can do two things, one, take a hometown discount or two, test the UFA market. Of the two, Hossa will go test the market. One that might be pretty thin dollar wise, as teams will most likely chose to sign their RFA's before offer sheets come pourring in and have to match them. Of course, if he can go on the market as a Stanley cup champion that would be great, but I doubt it will bring his value up more. In my opinion, the UFA market in the next two or three years, could be pretty thin money wise for those hoping to cash in like those in the first four years of the CBA. Should be interesting folks.



Are teams in cap trouble ?

This is a good question, as the CBA is a complicated document to understand. The cap accounting is not as difficult as it seems. Of course if you have some knowledge on how accounting works in a major corporation, the cap is kids play to you, but if you don't, then you get lost as many others do. Remember, there is one thing balancing the family budget and that of a multinational corporation.

That being said. Let's look at examples where teams might be seem to be in trouble, and in reality they are not. One thing you must remember, a team can have a player on LTIR, but is not obligated to ask for the exemption right away, as it can be retroactive. You can still bring in a replacement player or more, as long as the salary or salaries do not exceed the one of the player on LTIR.

Now to be eligible for the long term injury exemption, you must prove that a player missed or will miss 10 games or 24 cap days. Now your wondering why the 10 games and the 24 cap days ? It depends on a teams schedule during a certain month. Let's say, and god forbid this would happen, but for argument sake. The Sens Captain, Alfredsson gets injured, he will be out possibly four weeks, which means 28 cap days. The Sens have a light schedule in February, in which they will possibly play at the most 9 games, thru 25 days. Since the 10 game rule does not apply, they can still apply, as he will miss 24 days, and can ask for the exemption right away, or make it retroactive when he gets back, to assure they get the credits at the end of the year and be cap compliant.

So if your a Flyers fan, and look at how much they have in cap space, don't worry, at the end of the year they will be cap compliant and won't penalized for it. Replacement players for those on LTIR, does not affect the cap space. Let's say they had 2 million in cap space before injuries, it does not change. There is many more examples I could give you, but let's stick to the ones I have given you. But it is true, that a team must free up space on the active roster when an injured player comes back, but not necessary cap space. The problem is not always about cap space, it's about the 23 man rule on active roster. Because a player is not in the line-up for a few games, it does not mean he is no longer on the active roster. Unless demoted, or is loaned to an another league, a player's salary continues to count against his teams upper limit.

Enjoy your Weekend of hockey and the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh by ten points.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Rumours, Rumours and more

Canada's national capital region is living it's second storm of 2009, so is La Belle Province. That usually spells hockey weather, well so to speak. Hockey, espacially NHL, that means the tradedeadline, rumours and of course, let's us not forget the good old salary cap.

In the coming weeks, you will hear, read and write about them. Now I know that you are all smart people, and can fish out a dumb rumour when you hear or read one. When reading or hearing a rumour, look at the possible players involved on both sides, the needs of both teams and of course, cap wise, does it make sense. If you think it sounds good, go see if someone else is talking or writing about it. If you do, then you there is a chance it has legs to stand on and may happen, if not, pass and move on. Ok well let's take a look at what is out there.

There is no direct link between Keith Tkachuk or any team directly or indirectly, but speculation on where his services could be needed or could be a good fit. Boston is mentionned as destination, but do they need him ? Possible. He has never been a real playoff performer. Remember the tradedeadline two years ago ? That was a bust. If I'm a Gm I would think twice about any kind trade involving Tkachuk. Remember Atlanta got shafted two years in a row with either purchasing or a selling a UFA. I'm not saying he would be a bust, just beware.

And no, Lecavalier won't be traded at the deadline.It's a question of the Lightning ownership coming to an agreement to do it or not, for one, and two, cap space to absorb the remaining of this year's contract, and of course the new one that comes in to effect on July 1st. This will give the Lightning brass three and a half months to decide if they pull the trigger or not. Once the playoffs over, we all know what teams will have on their agendas, the draft, oh by the way it's in Montreal this year, how interesting. If your the Lightning brass, you kind cheer the Montreal Canadiens on during the playoffs, and hope that they win the Cup. Why you say ? Well, then they will say, ''why do they do need vinny ? '' Good point, buit on the other hand, if they make an another second round exit, you cant bet your Canadiens jersey that the heat will be on for sure, on both sides. The Canadiens needing Vinny, and for the lightning getting true value if they sit down with George Gillett and Bob Gainey.

It should be an interesting next four weeks, other than in Tampa Bay, or maybe not.

Sunday, January 25, 2009

Vinny come home and ...

The last time Vincent Lecavalier was in Montreal, he dressed in the visitors dressing room in the Bell Centre, this time around he got a chance to dress in the Canadiens dressing room as the Eastern conference is the home team at this year's All-Star Game.

With the rumours about his ''possible'' moving from Tampa Bay, Montreal is one of the cities mentionned in the so called rumour mill. So dressing in the mystical room that is the Canadiens, with all the history, the hall of famers and plus having to read the famous quote from Flanders field that the late former Canadiens coach Dick Irvin sr had painted on the wall in the old Forum '' From failing hands we throw the torch, be it yours to hold it high.'' As if that was not enough, you step on to the ice, and receive a standing ovation by the Montreal faithful and hopeful fans. Pierre McGuire from TSN, mentionned last night, that it's not Bob Gainey that will feel the pressure on making a deal to bring Lecavalier to Montreal, but it would be George Gillett jr that would feel the heat from the fans. As we all know, the Canadiens owner does not hide in his corporate box, he has a seat at ice level among the fans. The question is, would Gillett buckle under the pressure and almost order Bob Gainey to bring Lecavalier to Montreal ?

I doubt it, as he likes the team that Gainey has put on the ice. Don't forget that Gillett had to do some arm twisting to get Bob Gainey to accept the job in the first place, so it would make no sense for him to turn around and ask his General Manager to gut five years of hard work for one player. Sorry Habs fans, it won't happen that way anyways. Be assured that if there is a way to bring him to Montreal, Gainey, Gillett, Boivin and the CBA specialist, Julien Brisebois, will sit down and discuss it. One thing If I'm George Gillett, I'm crossing my fingers that his team makes it at least to the conference final, if ever by any bad luck, the Habs get knocked out in the initial round, you will hear about it around the league. As a Canadiens fan myself, I would like to see Vinny in a Montreal jersey, but not at any cost. So don't hold your breath on seeing Lecavalier in a Bleu, Blanc et Rouge jersey anytime soon.


Bouwmeester and the Panthers

The Florida Panthers Gm, Jacques Martin, has one awesome task on his hands with the Bouwmeester situation and how to handle it. It's pretty clear, that the star defenseman has no intention on wanting to stay on past this season, he would like to test the UFA market this summer. With little more than a month to go before the tradedeadline, and his team at the present moment in a possibility of making the Playoffs, he will hang on to his star player. If Martin is in the same position come the deadline, that's where the decision he makes could be difficult. Bouwmeester's trade value will be sky high, if he trades him, he is telling the fans, I'm tanking the season, and putting his job on the line. If he keeps him, in hopes of trading him at the draft in Montreal in June, he knows he won't get the same return as he would if he moves him at the deadline. Another situation, he keeps him at the deadline, and the Panthers miss the playoffs in the last weekend of the season,the fans will be calling for him to be fired. A real catch 22 situation, damn if you do, and same if you don't. Being an NHL Gm is not as easy it's led on to be. Good luck Jacques, I'm glad I'm not in your shoes.

A little side note of humour, the notorious Mr. Eklund on his site, has Bouwmeester going to the Leafs, and puts it in the (e4) category. Check it out.

I'm hoping and crossing my fingers, that I can make more regular entries to this blog from now until the end of the season.Health and personal reasons have kept me from doing so. I enjoy writing, espacially about hockey, and I have missed that, so please bare with me, as I try to give new life to this blog.

Since it's the Canadiens centenial year, the All-Star game and draft will be held in the city of '' Les Glorieux'' What better time for a little quiz. Not everyone knows about this, let's see if you can get it. Two well known Canadiens Hall of Famers once rode on a ski-doo to get to a game at the Montreal Forum, can you name those Hall of Famers ? A litlle hint, one of them is still in hockey. The answer on my next entry.

Good Luck !

Friday, January 23, 2009

In the Stretch

It's the All-Star weekend in Montreal, which means that after, this is where teams start getting serious and make that push to make the playoffs. For a lot of teams this is a forgone conclusion, but for others, it's make or break time. The margin of error is alot tighter. Slumps and injuries could become a major factor. So let's look at the teams, and what they have to do from the All-Star break until the end of the season, to have a glimer of a chance in making the playoffs. The table below is pretty simple to understand. I put what the teams have put on board in points so far,and what they need to get to 90 points, which I used as the mesuring stick for both conferences. The last number is the maximum amount of points according to the amount of games left to play. Will your team make it ?

Eastern Conference

Team

Pts

PTS needed

Max Possible

Boston

73

17+

70

Washington

63

27+

68

New Jersey

61

29+

70

Montreal

60

30+

72

Rangers

60

30+

68

Philadelphia

59

31+

72

Buffalo

53

37+

70

Carolina

51

39+

68





Florida

50

40+

72

Pittsburgh

50

40+

68

Toronto

42

48+

70

Tampa Bay

42

48+

70

Ottawa

39

51+

76

Atlanta

39

39+

68

Islanders

31

59+

70

Western Conference

Team

Pts

PTS needed

Max Possible

San Jose

73

17+

74

Detroit

68

22+

72

Calgary

60

30+

72

Chicago

58

32+

74

Phoenix

53

37+

68

Edmonton

51

39+

72

Vancouver

51

39+

68

Anaheim

51

39+

66





Minnesota

49

41+

72

Columbus

49

41+

70

Dallas

47

43+

74

Colorado

47

43+

70

Los Angeles

45

45+

72

Nashville

43

47+

72

ST.Louis

42

48+

72


This is surely the best time of the season. Enjoy the All-Star Weekend

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Possible playoff picture

Happy New Year to all. Sorry for the lack of posting, I had health issues, but everything is fine now.

The majority of the teams have past the mid season point, so time to look in the crystal ball and see which teams will be playing in the playoffs this spring. This is the first installment of projections. I will do another after the All-star game, and an another a few weeks after the tradedeadline, so be sure to stay tune.


Teams in italic are eliminated

Numbers in brackets are wins


Eastern Conference

Boston

129

Washington

109

Philadelphia

107

Montreal

112

New Jersey

102

Rangers

101

Buffalo

92

Carolina

90



Pittsburgh

84

Toronto

74

Tampa Bay

68

Ottawa

66

Atlanta

63

Florida

63

Islanders

55




Western Conference

San Jose

134

Detroit

126

Calgary

108

Chicago

107

Vancouver

91

Anaheim

90

Colorado

87

Minnesota

86 (40)



Columbus

86(39)

Phoenix

85

Edmonton

84

Nashville

82 (38)

Dallas

82 (35)

Los Angeles

80

St-Louis

72