Around the NHL (30-12-2006)

The Anaheim Ducks are on their way to the best season in the team's history, which also includes the days when they were known as the Mighty Ducks. Keeping up the same pace in the second half as they did in the first, they could record a sixty win season. A task that will be hard to keep up with both your regular goalies are hit with the injury bug.

The Buffalo Sabres are on their way to beating a team record for points in a season. The Sabres of the mid seventies had recorded a 113 point season in 1974-75 and reached the Stanley cup finals that same season. This season, the Sabres will set a new record and have a second 100 point + season for the first time since the team of seventies that I mentionned.

When will we see the first significant trade this season ? A good question. The Salary cap has played a major factor in why we have seen little movement so far. It's playing the role it was meant to do. I like it, because everyone has the same chance to put together the best team possible and it creates parity.

The preparation for the trade deadline starts in the new year, as we will enter the second half of the season and half the players salaries will have been paid out, so it will be easier to absorb salaries under the cap.

The big question is who is going where and who is staying ? Sundin will be staying in Toronto and finish his career as a Leaf. The same could be said of Joe Sakic in Colorado.

Most likely the Philadelphia Flyers and the St-Louis Blues will be sellers as they will want to rebuild.

The tradeline might be one the most interesting in years.

Around the NHL

We are not even half way thru the season and already we have seen four guys losing their jobs (Hitchcock, Yawney, Gallant and Kitchen). Could we see more before the end of the season ? Very possible, Gretzky would step down before the obvisious would happen. Is Joel Quenneville’s job on the line in Colorado ? I don’t rule it out, unless he can turn around Jose Théodore’s poor play. I would not be surprised to see Colorado buy out Théodore’s contract at the end of the season, he will be earning 6 million next season, so at two thirds, Colorado would be on tap for about two million in dead cap space and save 3.3 million in the cap. Brisebois and Turgeon will not be returning next season also. Pierre Lacroix has been known for pulling rabbits from his hat in the past, but the Théodore trade is not one of his best, combined with the Brisebois and Turgeon signings, will be a blotch on his legacy in Colorado.

If Florida wanted to shop Gary Roberts, I think he could be a good fit in Montreal and center the maligned Kovalev-Samsonov line. He is a good leader and could take off some pressure from Koivu in that department, he also could be a good influence on the youngsters coming in to a playoff run. I don’t think too many teams will want to meet the Habs in the first round of the playoffs, or any round for that matter. The comeback kids are deadly when it comes to the second and third periods, a lead is not safe with them. I would not be surprised also, to see Gainey keeping an eye on what the Leafs will do with Tucker. I think if the Leafs don’t sign him to a contract extension and becomes a free agent, Gainey could offer him a contract, which in my opinion could spell the end of Micheal Ryder in Montreal.

If the Senators fail to make the playoffs , I can see the owner cleaning house, Muckler and Murray would be out of jobs. If this happens, we might see the return of Pierre Gauthier as Gm, who is presently acting as the Habs Gm during Gainey’s leave for the reason we all know. Would Gauthier be tempted on giving Pat Burns a call ? Burns is recovering from cancer, has mentionned his desire to get back in to coaching. In a way Burns would be coming back to where he started. He was the coach of the Hull Olympiques when a certain Wayne Gretzky was the owner in the mid 80’s and had players like Luc Robitaille, Pat Brisson (now a player agent) and Benoit Brunet in his line-up. Remember it was Burns’ Devils that eliminated the Sens in game 7 of the Eastern conference final in 2003 and went on to win the cup against the Mighty Ducks in seven games. It would be a good comeback for Pat, espacially that he would be meeting three of his four former employers on a regular basis (Montreal, Toronto and Boston).

The season is 187 days long, divide in two and it comes to 93.5 days, so the half way point as calculating the cap, would come on day 94, which brings us to about the first weekend in January. So look for movement to start in the week of January 8th and would end at the trade deadline on February 27 th.

Could Anaheim beat the Habs record for most Points in a single season ?

The Anaheim Ducks may want to put back Mighty in their name again , because thay have been just that this season so far. If the Ducks were to keep the same pace, they could finish with 133 pts, which would beat the Montreal Canadiens record of 132 points from the amazing 1976-77 season, thirty years ago.

An another team is on a strong pace, the Buffalo Sabres could tie a record from the 1995-96 season, established by the Detroit Red Wings, who finished the season with 62 wins. Scotty Bowman who coached the Habs team I mentionned earlier, was also behind the wings bench in 1995-96, which made him the first coach to win 60 games with two different teams. The Hall of Fame coach could have company this season, if Lindy Ruff keeps his team on the same pace.

Of course my calculations do not take in to account the injury factur or possible trades after the mid season point when half the salaries will have been paid out, which would change a lot of things. Also, possible slumps by teams who are on hot streaks now, like Anaheim and Buffalo.

If we were in perfect world and everything went as planned, this is how the Eastern and Western conferences could look like come April 9th. In the East, Buffalo would have home ice advantage in the first three rounds. They would meet the Washington Capitals. The Atlanta Trashers would meet the Boston Bruins. The New Jersey Devils would meet the Islanders in a New York area series. The New York Rangers would meet the Montreal Canadiens in an original six series.

In the West, The Ducks would meet Calgary. Edmonton and Detroit would meet for a second year in a row. The Nashville Predators would take on the Minnesota Wild. Dallas and San Jose would face off in the last of that conference’s first round match ups.

I will repeat the excercise after the trade deadline, and see where we are at that point and should give us a better idea at who will make the playoffs in April.

Is Mats Sundin playing his last year in the NHL ? Speculation is that he could retire and finish his playing in Sweden. If the Leafs don’t pick up the option, Sundin will be owed 1million US, which will count in the Leafs cap for next season.

My best wishes go out to the Gainey family, in hoping that they find Laura.